Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1175.940791 1335.836549 1513.626037 1726.703127 1976.088933 2259.876784 2608.885043
2025-08-31 932.091779 1142.436746 1398.457561 1736.090169 2174.212879 2729.815478 3497.859344
2025-09-07 806.620216 1039.737726 1341.229432 1765.876279 2358.547605 3171.583603 4398.296776
2025-09-14 692.272580 926.666973 1244.039203 1714.274684 2409.142145 3424.235769 5069.752626
2025-09-21 606.873779 838.091765 1163.347496 1666.316833 2446.844076 3651.330194 5732.615400
2025-09-28 537.022280 761.485456 1087.683922 1611.067193 2458.782572 3832.150984 6346.210907
2025-10-05 507.542483 739.355020 1087.676777 1668.376674 2652.201409 4330.932767 7602.677670
2025-10-12 475.424576 709.112268 1070.730886 1694.503480 2795.009413 4763.980274 8831.720522
2025-10-19 446.762267 680.884365 1053.087710 1715.731565 2930.084704 5202.785310 10170.020926
2025-10-26 421.233713 654.888430 1035.770065 1734.231552 3061.077119 5653.770247 11639.955201
2025-11-02 403.942610 640.521889 1035.908774 1782.848385 3254.512152 6260.505735 13610.355667
2025-11-09 383.691664 619.184610 1021.623097 1802.523875 3393.036702 6777.141404 15507.590585
2025-11-16 362.560920 595.346981 1002.073953 1812.780212 3520.428275 7308.847361 17643.616986
2025-11-23 343.002515 572.716243 982.745709 1821.653631 3647.940632 7871.237459 20060.312948
2025-11-30 328.373761 557.515932 975.389426 1853.214950 3829.627841 8600.238263 23208.674776
2025-12-07 304.519434 523.471303 929.202115 1798.595687 3806.579966 8815.131608 24874.873034
2025-12-14 283.431846 492.954201 887.130423 1747.849279 3784.940732 9029.856036 26623.182745
2025-12-21 263.420191 463.019460 843.712864 1689.405541 3736.278534 9163.350934 28153.457137
2025-12-28 257.728514 459.999629 853.547059 1750.028589 3992.584191 10203.810397 33370.343364
2026-01-04 249.028031 450.425119 849.141812 1777.673101 4169.336301 11058.128566 38294.076242
2026-01-11 240.431195 440.392944 842.862240 1800.137537 4336.371558 11925.886323 43717.495200
2026-01-18 232.154340 430.385620 835.740230 1819.717313 4499.152862 12823.628822 49766.243489
2026-01-25 227.073019 426.498454 841.378877 1871.181944 4761.521064 14124.961651 58494.180263